If you still doubt that COVID-19 will be a much bigger deal in the US than China and kill less Americans than 10x that of influenza this year, I'd like to share some data and arguments to change your mind: If you read just one short thing: "1/ Many of you ask me why I take the COVID-19 outbreak so seriously. Current numbers of cases and deaths are not why. A thread on why I’m worried and what I do personally in this situation." - Max Roser If you read just one longer article: ourworldindat...

Confidence: 8 Importance: 8 Novelty: 5 Status: temporarily okay Topics: personal word #: 1243 This post tries to clarify some of my fundamental philosophical beliefs, which I take for granted in much of my other writing. If anything here sounds utterly wrong to you, there is a good chance either you and I use a word differently, or that we could eventually converge in understanding given a long enough conversation. Strong Opinions, Loosely Held Here are some of my probably-still-current belie...