5. Thoughts
October 10, 2019•499 words
- Is significant profit possible for a new market entrant, or is the industry only really open to established experts?
 - Supply to household use, or to industry? What promotes growth? What has less risk?
 - Supply to the grid, create own mini-grid, or sell standalone systems?
 An energy business would be as much investing in the country as in any physical hardware, land or infrastructure
How do we estimate the costs of running a solar farm?
- Capital costs
- Land
 - Solar panel arrays
 - Inverters, transformers, monitoring, structure
 - Other electrical components?
 - Delivery, tax, duty
 - Installation cost
 - Infrastructure costs of connection to grid?
 
 - Running costs
- Cleaning
 - Security
 - Maintenance
 - Licensing
 
 - Depreciation
- Lifespan of 25 years depending on hardware
 
 
- Capital costs
 What are the options for building a solar farm?
- Find an international solar developer willing to do a project in Malawi 
- Unlikely to generate a reasonable return due to high cost
 
 - Train myself in electrical and solar installation then hire labour locally and manage installation myself
- Likely to take several years
 - Would require living in Malawi for an extended period of time
 
 - Find African expertise, for example in South Africa
- South Africa is unknown territory, so hard to find and negotiate with developers
 
 - Find local electricians and then fund their solar training abroad
- Where would they train, and for how long?
 - Risk of overseeing the project ourselves with no experience and newly trained workers
 
 - Same as 4. above, but hire a consultancy to design the build
- Reduces risk of build
 - Source materials ourselves, but get consultancy to validate
 - Potentially ask consultancy to validate installation at different stages
 - How much would such a service cost?
 - Requires living in Malawi during build
 
 
- Find an international solar developer willing to do a project in Malawi 
 Does Malawi make sense? Based on thoughts so far:
- Malawi
- Con - Risk of developing country
 - Con - No local expertise
 - Con - Materials would have to be imported
 - Pro - Good levels of solar radiation
 - Pro- Probably low bureaucracy
 
 - UK
- Con - Low levels of solar radiation
 - Con - Labour is expensive
 - Con - High levels of bureaucracy
 - Pro - Plenty of local expertise
 - Pro - Home country
 
 - Germany
- Con - Low levels of solar radiation
 - Con - Labour is expensive
 - Pro - Plenty of local expertise
 - Pro - Land is potentially less expensive than UK
 - Pro - Potentially better subsidies than UK?
 
 - China
- Con - Don't yet know enough - subsidies, tariffs, cost of land, bureaucracy?
 - Con - Can't speak the local language
 - Pro - Should have good levels of solar radiation in certain regions
 - Pro - Should have good level of local expertise and not too expensive
 - Pro - Materials can be purchased locally
 - Pro - Would have help finding contacts
 
 
- Malawi