5. Thoughts
October 10, 2019•499 words
- Is significant profit possible for a new market entrant, or is the industry only really open to established experts?
- Supply to household use, or to industry? What promotes growth? What has less risk?
- Supply to the grid, create own mini-grid, or sell standalone systems?
An energy business would be as much investing in the country as in any physical hardware, land or infrastructure
How do we estimate the costs of running a solar farm?
- Capital costs
- Land
- Solar panel arrays
- Inverters, transformers, monitoring, structure
- Other electrical components?
- Delivery, tax, duty
- Installation cost
- Infrastructure costs of connection to grid?
- Running costs
- Cleaning
- Security
- Maintenance
- Licensing
- Depreciation
- Lifespan of 25 years depending on hardware
- Capital costs
What are the options for building a solar farm?
- Find an international solar developer willing to do a project in Malawi
- Unlikely to generate a reasonable return due to high cost
- Train myself in electrical and solar installation then hire labour locally and manage installation myself
- Likely to take several years
- Would require living in Malawi for an extended period of time
- Find African expertise, for example in South Africa
- South Africa is unknown territory, so hard to find and negotiate with developers
- Find local electricians and then fund their solar training abroad
- Where would they train, and for how long?
- Risk of overseeing the project ourselves with no experience and newly trained workers
- Same as 4. above, but hire a consultancy to design the build
- Reduces risk of build
- Source materials ourselves, but get consultancy to validate
- Potentially ask consultancy to validate installation at different stages
- How much would such a service cost?
- Requires living in Malawi during build
- Find an international solar developer willing to do a project in Malawi
Does Malawi make sense? Based on thoughts so far:
- Malawi
- Con - Risk of developing country
- Con - No local expertise
- Con - Materials would have to be imported
- Pro - Good levels of solar radiation
- Pro- Probably low bureaucracy
- UK
- Con - Low levels of solar radiation
- Con - Labour is expensive
- Con - High levels of bureaucracy
- Pro - Plenty of local expertise
- Pro - Home country
- Germany
- Con - Low levels of solar radiation
- Con - Labour is expensive
- Pro - Plenty of local expertise
- Pro - Land is potentially less expensive than UK
- Pro - Potentially better subsidies than UK?
- China
- Con - Don't yet know enough - subsidies, tariffs, cost of land, bureaucracy?
- Con - Can't speak the local language
- Pro - Should have good levels of solar radiation in certain regions
- Pro - Should have good level of local expertise and not too expensive
- Pro - Materials can be purchased locally
- Pro - Would have help finding contacts
- Malawi