【转】2020年7月12日。张文宏医生真是受欢迎，昨晚讲座zoom meeting room满员

【转】2020年7月12日。张文宏医生真是受欢迎，昨晚讲座zoom meeting room满员，1000人同时在线。张文宏医生介绍了好多大家关心的话题。我总结几个我认为的要点：
1，美国和世界的新冠疫情还处在第一波疫情中，还没有出现拐点，夏天到来也没有出现很多人期盼的缓解迹象，现在是空中加油后继续飞翔阶段。
2，现在根除新冠病毒基本不可能了，大家要做好与新冠病毒长期共存的打算。
3，在没有特效药的情况下，北京上海最近700例病人没有一例死亡。其中包括了上ECMO的病人。所以有没有特效药物对于新冠病毒的治疗不是很关键的事情。
4，假定没有有效疫苗研发出来的话，新冠病毒预计2025 年会下降甚至消失。
5，最近大家看到美国的死亡率下降不是由于病毒变异导致死亡率下降，而是
a, 医疗挤兑不存在了
b, 老人得到了有效的保护
c, 年轻人由于复工复产感染人数增加明显,基数变大了，最终可能降到1%以下
d, 医务人员治疗控制病情的水平和经验都在显著提高
6，孩子可以复学，但是要注意戴口罩，勤洗手，家里有老人的话最好能和老人隔离一下。多锻炼提高免疫力，注意孩子是否有症状，最简单的就是看血氧。低于96%马上就诊。
6，对于新冠感染来说，最危险的因素是年龄。

[Forwarded]
July 12, 2020. Dr. Zhang Wenhong was really well received, last night the Zoom meeting room was full, 1000 people online at the same time. Dr. Zhang Wenhong touched on many topics that affect everyone . I summarize the points I thought were the main highlights:

1. America and the world's novel coronavirus epidemic is still in the first wave of outbreaks, there has not been an inflection point, there is no sign of the relief that many hoped for with the arrival of summer, it is now the stage of continuing to fly after mid-air refueling.

2. It is basically impossible to eradicate the new coronavirus now, everyone should make plans for long-term coexistence with the new coronavirus

3. In the absence of specific drugs, none of the 700 recent patients in Beijing and Shanghai died. This includes patients put on ECMO. So whether or not there are special drugs, it is not very important for the treatment of novel coronavirus

4. Assuming no effective vaccine is developed, the new coronavirus is expected to decline or even disappear in 2025.

5. The recently observed decline in mortality in the United States is not due to a mutation in the virus, but rather
   a) strain on the medical system no longer exists
   b) the elderly are effectively protected
   c) the number of young people infected has increased significantly due to returning to work, the denominator has become larger, the rate may eventually fall below 1%
   d) medical personnel's treatment and control of the disease has signficantly improved in quality and experience

6. Children can go back to school, but pay attention to wearing masks, frequent hand-washing, if there are elderly at home it is best if you can isolate them from the elderly. Exercise more to improve immunity, pay attention to whether the child has symptoms, the simplest thing is to look at blood oxygen. If you see less than 96% immediately bring in for examination.

7. For novel coronavirus infections, the most dangerous factor is age.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zhang_Wenhong

Zhang Wenhong (Chinese: 张文宏, born 27 August 1969) is a Chinese doctor, and a member of the Communist Party of China. He is the Director and Secretary of the Party Branch of the Department of Infectious Diseases at Huashan Hospital affiliated to Shanghai Fudan University, and is also the leader of the Shanghai Medical Treatment Experts Group, deputy director of the Shanghai Institute of Liver Diseases and standing committee member of the Infectious Disease Branch of the Chinese Medical Association.